Thursday, August 13, 2009

Steven Goldman Chat 8-13-09

Jake (St. Louis): All right, Steve, what is your forecast for the St. Louis Cardinals from here until their season ends, whenever that may be?

Steven Goldman: I think they're going to hold on and win the division, and their pitching is strong enough that they could surprise in the playoffs. I'm also fascinated by Matt Holliday's post-acquisition hot streak, which is now over 80 PAs, shades of Cesar Cedeno in 1985. I do worry about the pitch-to-contact propensities of everyone except Wainwright and Carpenter if forced to face a superior offense, and you'd like to see them heat up one more bat, but it doesn't seem like that's going to happen at this late date. Losing Glaus has really hurt - .222/.291/.376 from Cards' 3Bmen this year.

Baseball Prospectus

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