Trying to make a big splash in free agency automatically risks making a big mistake. While this winter's shopping season has been especially strange because of the way in which the economic situation has had an impact on who signs where and for what, it's interesting that most teams haven't made the mistake of offering too many long-term contracts for pitchers, a reflection of the increasing certainty that anything beyond three years can go from million-dollar expense to millstone on the payroll lasting years beyond that bit of off-season impulse buying had seemed like such a good idea.
Baseball Prospectus
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