7. Cardinals (steady)
Not in the Cards? The loss of Adam Wainwright puts a serious dent in the Cardinals' post-season hopes, and if that's not bad enough, there's always the impending free agency of Albert Pujols to ponder. Thanks largely to a monster forecast (.312/.421/.573, 8.1 WARP) for their first baseman, the offense projects to rank in the league's upper third, and it's not as though the rest of the NL Central's threatening to run away. The real question is whether Chris Carpenter, Jaime Garcia, and a full season of Jake Westbrook can help cover for the team's absent ace; at best, their margin for error appears slim. (770 RS, 737 RA)
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