Thursday, August 5, 2010

Reflecting On The Trade Deadline

My two cents on the “big” three-way trade (Ludwick/Westbrook)

The Cardinals trading Ryan Luckwick was both unexpected and baffling. The former A’s prospect is by no means the player he was in 2008 (.406 wOBA), but he is still a quality hitter (career .356 wOBA, .354 wOBA in 2010) with ample pop (career .219 ISO). In 2010, Luckwick has been 23 percent better than the average major league hitter. The Cardinals, as a team, are posting a .326 wOBA and scoring only 4.46 runs per game with the Albert Pujols/Matt Holliday machine. It seems strange that they would ship off their third most offensively productive player to acquire a pitcher, Jake Westbrook, who has a 4.65 ERA/4.41 xFIP on the season and is injury-prone when they have fragile Chris Carpenter on their roster and a starting rotation xFIP of 3.93, the best mark in baseball. Perhaps the Cardinals are enamored with Westbrook’s career 4.04 xFIP.

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