Wednesday, March 24, 2010

Probablistic Model Of Steals, Catchers

Earlier this month I introduced the idea of a Probabilistic Model of Steals. In that post, I looked at how the stage of the game, represented by the inning, changed the probability of attempting a steal, and the success rate on those attempts. Subsequent posts examined outs, the score difference and the combination of all three. This posts looks at running against catchers, comparing actual stolen base attempts against the expected number of attempts based on the model.

Baseball Musings

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