Thursday, October 8, 2009

Chart Of The Day: Playoff Odds Based On Beyond The Boxscore Power Rankings

The BtB Power Rankings are based on an estimated, theoretical winning percentage (I call it Team Quality Index, or TQI) for each team based on their component statistics and an adjustment for league quality. If we use TQI as an estimate of a team's true talent level (i.e. their quality), we can use those numbers to predict how teams will fare against one another in the playoffs (I used the odds ratio). Here are those numbers:

Beyond The Boxscore

No comments: