The Phillies and Cardinals start a weekend series with both division and wild card implications. Cole Hamels gets the ball in game one for Philadelphia. Cole's home run rate is holding him back from being a Cy Young contender. He's tough to hit, tough to reach base against, but with 21 homers allowed, nine for more than one run, more than half of his runs allowed came on the long ball. If he could cut his home run rate 25%, his ERA would likely drop to around 2.75. Look what an improved home run rate did for his opponent tonight, Kyle Lohse. His HR rate is down 25% from his career average and his ERA down a run from his career mark.
Baseball Musings
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